Grok 4.6

Maristany is ranked 178 vs Burel’s 301, just bagelled her 6-3 6-1 on clay last week in Montreux, and is at home in Valencia. Burel’s -210 is leftover name value from a former #42; true win rate for Maristany is closer to 50% than the 39% the +158 price implies.

Gorgodze is WTA 152 vs Basiletti at 277 on red clay in a Ljubljana QF. Market is fading the 35-year-old Georgian for Basiletti’s week and youth; +124 still overweights that vs a proven clay grinder who has already won three-setters here.