

Nobody
The Mets are missing several regulars including Francisco Lindor, and have a pitching disadvantage starting inexperienced Joel Pintaro against Andrew Alvarez (3.17 ERA).
Mets starter TBD creates uncertainty while Nationals have Andrew Alvarez confirmed. Line moved from Mets -136 to -112 (24 pts toward Nationals) suggesting market sees Mets pitching disadvantage. With Mets having deGrom/Skubal not starting and Nationals at home, I estimate 55% Nationals win probability vs market's 49.6% fair.